Discussion Board

History of prescription of the Bayesian method

  • 1.  History of prescription of the Bayesian method

    Posted 17 days ago
      |   view attached
    In the attached paper, I examine why the Bayesian method has been prescribed for diagnosis. I find it has not been prescribed due to its diagnostic accuracy but due to its rationality based on its coherence.
    This explains, I believe, why this method is not employed for diagnosis in practice, as I have pointed out several times. Our goal in diagnosis is high accuracy in diagnosing a disease in different patients with varying prior probabilities, which is not achieved by the Bayesian method.
    Pleas review and comment.

    Bimal

    Bimal Jain MD
    Mass General Brigham/Salem Hospital
    Salem MA 01970
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