In the attached paper, I analyze the Bayesian method of diagnosis and point out that even though it has been prescribed, it does not appear to be employed for diagnosis in practice.
This discrepancy arises, I argue, from a profound difference between the reason for prescription of this method and the goal of diagnosis in practice.
This method is not employed, I suggest, because the goal in practice of accurate determination of a disease in different patients with varying prior probabilities is not met by it.
The method employed for diagnosis in practice, I propose, is the frequentist confidence method which is the other (other than the Bayesian) major method of statistical inference.
Please review and comment on this paper. Thanks.
Bimal
Bimal Jain MD
Northshore Medical Center
Salem MA 01970.
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